The Scouting Report: Braves vs. Royals, Game 2
Lineups, pitching matchup, bullpen status, and what to watch tonight
It’s Atlanta Braves baseball! Let’s break down everything you need to know about tonight’s matchup.
Game Info
First Pitch: 7:15 PM ET
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
TV: Fox (national broadcast)
Radio: 680 AM/93.7 FM The Fan
Weather: 65° and clear, 7 mph wind
Today’s Lineups
Atlanta Braves
RF Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)
C Drake Baldwin (L)
1B Matt Olson (L)
3B Austin Riley (R)
LF Mike Yastrzemski (L)
2B Ozzie Albies (S)
CF Michael Harris II (L)
DH Dom Smith (L)
SS Mauricio Dubón (R)
Quick thoughts:
As expected, Yastrzemski and Dom Smith check in versus a righty starter. While I don’t know if Yaz will get subbed out late if he’s facing a lefty reliever, watch for Atlanta to potentially pinch hit for Dom Smith late if it’s close and they don’t like the matchup against KC lefties Matt Strahm or Daniel Lynch.
Manager Walt Weiss indicated earlier in spring that he wouldn’t be afraid to bat lefties Drake Baldwin and Matt Olson back to back, and he’s doing that tonight. With two righties in Ronald Acuña Jr. and Austin Riley buttressing them, I don’t think it’s an issue.
Kansas City Royals
3B Maikel Garcia (R)
SS Bobby Witt Jr. (R)
1B Vinnie Pasquantino (L)
C Salvador Perez (R)
DH Carter Jensen (L)
2B Jonathan India (R)
RF Jac Caglianone (L)
LF Isaac Collins (S)
CF Kyle Isbel (L)
Quick thoughts:
A much more balanced lineup here for Kansas City, with no obvious platoon lanes to take advantage of late.
With Jensen moving up in the order and Caglianone checking into right field, the middle third has a lot more power potential than last night. López needs to be cautious about not hanging a breaking ball here.
While Kyle Isbel is considered to be “Nick Allen, but in the outfield” in the #9 hole, I think he’s a little underrated as a defense and contact bat. Watch for him to do everything possible to get on base ahead of Maikel Garcia and the top of the order.
Pitching Matchup
Braves Starter: Reynaldo López
Quick snapshot (2024):
1.99 ERA / 3.91 xERA / 2.92 FIP
27.3 K% / 7.7 BB% / 1.8% HR
Pitch mix (avg FB velo = 95.5 mph)
vs RHH: 56% 4S, 42% slider, 2% curveball, 1% changeup
vs LHH: 55% 4S, 20% slider, 19% curveball, 7% changeup
What to watch:
This is the massive unknown; López made just one start last season before missing the rest of the year for shoulder surgery and then has had variable performance (and velocity) through spring. He’s reportedly mechanically sound and fully healthy for the first time in multiple seasons, but I still have no idea what to expect from a pitch usage perspective.
His previous game plan was clearly very Strider-esque against righties: mostly heater and slider, with just occasional curveballs and changeups. Lefties saw almost equal usage of the two secondaries, with the goal being in-zone fastballs to generate whiffs and then sliders and curveballs for chase.
Quick reminder, as it comes up every López start: He’s probably the Braves pitcher that is most likely to intentionally throw below his max early in at-bats or innings, then ramping up to the high-90s with runners on base or two outs. He’s got that reliever in him.
The problem here is that with us having velo question on López from the injuries and spring, at what point in this game will we have an idea of where his real velocity sits?
Opposing Starter: Michael Wacha
Quick snapshot (2025):
3.86 ERA / 4.19 xERA / 3.66 FIP
17.6 K% / 6.3 BB% / 2.1% HR
The arsenal (2025):
Pitch 1 = 4S FB, 27% usage, 93.1 mph
Pitch 2 = changeup, 25% usage
Pitch 3 = cutter, 15% usage
Pitch 4 = sinker, 13%
Pitch 5 = slider, 12% usage
Pitch 6 = curveball, 8% usage
How He Attacks Hitters
Wacha is the platonic ideal of a “kitchen sink” guy, capable of using and locating six different pitches in any given at-bat. That being said, even he has some platoon tendencies.
Against lefties, he leads with equal four-seamer and changeup usage, supplementing with the cutter and curveball and then merely sprinkling in the sinker and slider.
Righties, however, see four different pitches at least 15% of the time, a true kitchen sink approach. His usage pattern there is sinker/four-seamer and slider (tied)/changeup/cutter/curveball
How to read a plinko chart: Each circle represents the usage of a pitcher’s arsenal in a given count (color key below). The thickness of the connecting lines reflects how often each count occurs, helping show how a pitcher navigates an at-bat.
What This Means for the Braves
Good luck. Knowing what is coming tonight or even being able to sit on a frequently-used pitch is going to be almost impossible in all but the most extreme of situations (3-0, essentially). It’s a true test of hitting and pitch recognition that I don’t think we talk about enough.
No Braves hitter has seen Wacha more than nine times, although some do have good performance in that limited sample size:
Mike Yastrzemski is 3-9 with a homer, while Austin Riley is just 2-7 but both of those hits have been homers.
Flip side of this is that Ozzie Albies is just 1-9, albeit with two RBI, and Ronald Acuña Jr. is 2-9 with a RBI.
Braves Bullpen Status
Potential limitations:
I’m guessing the plan is to try and stay away from Robert Suarez if possible, although Weiss won’t risk a win for it; they’d just make him ‘down’ for Sunday.
Quick takeaway:
Weiss’s usage yesterday was Dylan Lee for the 7th, Robert Suarez for the 8th, and Tyler Kinley for the 9th. Lee got two lefties and a switch hitter, Suarez got a lefty and then some righties, while Kinley came into the now blown-open game for a lefty in Vinnie Pasquantino and then got a lefty pinch-hitter (Jac Caglianone) and a righty. So far, so good for what I was looking for from the bullpen deployment.
We didn’t need it yesterday with Sale going six, but the question of who covers bulk innings is still lingering. At this point, I don’t know if either Didier Fuentes or José Suarez could take more than an inning or two and then be ready for the game five start on Tuesday. Maybe Aaron Bummer gets the assignment? Let’s hope we don’t need to find out.
What to Watch Tonight
The top of Atlanta’s order vs Wacha - can they generate traffic and run up his pitch count?
This is our first look at Dom Smith as the designated hitter. Can he handle himself out there, or is this going to be a problem area for Atlanta until they can get Sean Murphy back in the lineup?
Final Thought
I’m hopeful that the Braves can keep up the hot bats from last night and deliver early offense against Michael Wacha, although I’m a bit more skeptical about their ability to ‘figure out’ a true kitchen sink guy like Wacha on the fly.





JR Ritchie got knocked out in the 3rd inning for Gwinett.
Gwinett got shutout 3-0. Only 3 singles. Jim Jatvis got 2 singles, Nacho got 1.
Another L-o-n-g year in the upper minors. The other 3 full season teams open next week.
Lindsay, Everyone else has position, name, bat hand, but you got Dom bat hand as DH. Obviously, a typo, but thought you'd want to know.
DH Dom Smith (DH)